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Significance of Apple's iPad announcement, part 1: The A4 chip.

There’s enough to read about the iPad already, let alone what will pop up in the next few months, to fill a library. So I don’t think I need to bother writing a whole article reacting to the iPad itself. On one hand, it’s almost exactly what I was expecting. On the other hand, it does disappoint in some ways, while surprising me pleasantly in others. In any event, my plan hasn’t changed; I will get one as soon as I can get one. The only question is whether or not to bother with the 3G version.

There were some announcements at the event, however, that I think are going to go underreported. Some major aspects of the iPad that are easy to lose amongst all the drool over the iPad itself. 
### The A4 that isn’t an Audi
![Apple-ipad-a4-chip-2_270x119](http://posterous.com/getfile/files.posterous.com/jcieplinski/s3wPAz8Z9wxhgLr9cfWPexOYLbLvv0modFzAqg20E3smlwYGjz3rTXRTBxG7/apple-ipad-a4-chip-2_270x119.jpg)
First up, the Apple A4 chip that powers the iPad. This is big news. We’ve known that Apple bought a small mobile chip maker called PA Semi a few years back. We all suspected that Apple would utilize PA Semi’s expertise to make some custom chips eventually. But until now, we’ve never seen Apple power an entire machine with one of those chips. 
This is significant for a number of reasons. One of the many things Apple consistently gets credit for is its unique ability to “build the whole widget.” They make the software and the hardware, so they can develop hardware that is specifically tailored to the software. While that has been generally true up until this point, the A4 chip brings that to a whole new level. Whereas Apple has always “designed its own hardware,” it still uses some components from other manufacturers inside those devices. That’s just the way electronics are built. The original iPod was created almost entirely of off-the-shelf parts on the inside. Slowly, Apple changed that by making more and more of the parts itself, thus cutting costs and giving itself more control. 
The CPU is the most intimate piece of the hardware. Being able to control how that is made gives you unprecedented control over the machine’s inner workings. It also gives you tremendous independence from other companies who can easily screw you. 
Remember back when the clock speed wars were coming to a close, and Apple couldn’t keep up with the Pentium anymore, so it had to educate people about the “Megahertz Myth?” It also started making desktop PowerMacs with dual processors, to make them seem twice as fast. The problem was, those machines were only twice as fast when software was written to take advantage of that extra processor. Most of the time, that second processor sat there doing nothing. Many software developers never bothered rewriting their software to take advantage of the new hardware, because it didn’t have to. 
The same thing happened to a lesser extent with dual core processors, though software generally took advantage of those cores more often without needing a re-write. Still, Apple was constantly at the mercy of both Intel and the developers. 
With Apple making the chip and the software that runs on it, this problem can be largely avoided. When Apple makes a new advancement in hardware, it will immediately have the software to match it. It can make those changes at the core level of the OS, and within the tightly controlled SDK for the device, so that third-party apps can take advantage of the new hardware without much effort on the developer’s part.
Another great thing about making your own chips; you control who has access to them. If Intel creates a super-fast CPU that has a great power-to-speed ratio, Apple can buy it, but so can everyone else. If Apple creates that chip, no one else has it, unless Apple wants to license it to them. This is an incredible way to ensure that the competition never quite catches up to Apple in hardware capability. 
Having your own chip development also gives you great power in the negotiating room with other chip makers. Apple can get Intel to bend to its needs more easily if Intel knows that Apple can eventually quit using Intel altogether. Apple hasn’t forgotten how much it was screwed by Motorola, and then IBM several years ago. It’s not about to cede the same control over its destiny to Intel. 
And then there are advantages in in security. Custom-made silicon can be a great shield against hackers. I’ll be curious to see how long it takes someone to “jailbreak” an iPad. My guess is that it will be pretty challenging. 
By all accounts, those who used the iPad at that press event had one word for it—fast. It is blazingly fast. The Google Nexus One has a 1 GHz chip, as well. And while it has been described as fast, too, Nexus One can’t hold a candle to the graphics processing going on in some of those games demonstrated yesterday. We know very little at this point about just how good a chip the A4 is, and just how integrated it is with Apple’s software. But if it’s as advanced as it sounds, we could be seeing some amazing products coming out of Apple over the next few years. I expect an iPhone powered by an Apple custom chip soon. The MacBook Pro may take a bit longer, but it will happen, eventually. And once that happens, Apple can take OS X to all sorts of new places, and it can keep pushing the innovation even more than it already has. 
In other words, A4 is a HUGE deal. Like much of what was announced at the January 27 event, it was a small peek into a very big future for Apple. 

PC World gets a head start on the Tablet Bashing Campaign

> [According to a recent survey of consumers by market research firm Retrovo](http://www.retrevo.com/content/blog/2010/01/retrevo-pulse-report-apple-tablet) there are several must-have features consumers expect with an Apple tablet and several they want no part of. For example, 39 percent of survey respondents said they would only buy a tablet if it had 3G connectivity. Another 44 percent said they wouldn’t buy a tablet if it required a monthly data plan.
via [pcworld.com](http://www.pcworld.com/article/187385/apple_tablet_at_700_is_too_expensive_report_says.html)
PC world is starting the all-out assault on Apple’s Tablet early. This is the second article in two days I’ve seen slamming the product before it’s even announced.

Normally, I stray away from obvious troll bait articles like this, because I don’t want to give them the ad revenue. But it is worth pointing out that Apple succeeds where many others fail precisely BECAUSE it refuses to conduct the kinds of polls cited in this article.

You don’t make great products by asking people what they want. People by and large don’t know what they want.

There’s also a world of difference between listing a bunch of specs and asking people if they’d pay for it, and then showing them a living, breathing product.

I guarantee that of those 44% who said they wouldn’t buy a Tablet if it required a monthly data plan, at least 50% of them will, if Apple’s Tablet ends up requiring a monthly data plan.

Anyone who believes that market research leads to great products stands no chance of ever innovating anything, ever.

And, PC World. Do me a favor. Consider how unsuccessful your six months of assaults on the iPhone were before you continue along this path of silliness. Whether the tablet is a flop or a hit is entirely up to Apple. You will have no effect on sales whatsoever, no matter how hard you try.

One week to go

It’s one week until Apple’s big January Event, and you all know what that means. The rumor mill gone mad!

I don’t know what it is about this nebulous time between the official announcement of the event and the event itself that stirs up the rumor mill to new heights every time. My guess is that it’s a combination of factors. Rumor sites want to publish something new every day to keep their page hits going. So they’re hungry for any news at all. Apple certainly has a vested interest in energizing people even more than they already are. So they perform controlled leaks, both to pique interest and to tame expectations. As the Big Day approaches, a few more Apple employees, ones that aren’t locked away in a bunker, are given a sprinkling of information on a “need to know” basis, and for some of them, the temptation to be the “guy in the know” is just too great. Combine that with reporters anxious for any new information, and you get a lot more “a guy I know at Apple told me” kinds of stories. 
And never forget the BUSINESS of Apple rumoring. Stock price manipulation is always rampant during these cycles. So analysts are more anxious than usual to spill the goods about Apple, as well. They’ll take any bit of info they can get—from a janitor, if necessary—and publish it as gospel. 
I’m not going to get into the specifics of all of the most recent craziness. Let’s just say some of it is flat out insanely stupid and impossible, while some of it probably contains hints of truth, just poorly interpreted. But that’s the nature of this game, isn’t it? 
Remember the cardinal rule. If your source really knows anything at Apple, he or she isn’t talking. Any info you get is always third hand and piecemeal at this stage of the game. That doesn’t mean it’s all nonsense; it just means that you have to resist taking anything you read at face value. 
One thing that keeps coming up lately is this notion that the event will include multiple announcements. Not just a tablet computer (which we all assume), but a new version of iLife, the next version of the iPhone OS, maybe even new iPhone hardware, too, etc. 
Take a look at the invitation to the event:
[![Apple-itablet-event-invites-ar](http://posterous.com/getfile/files.posterous.com/jcieplinski/bOvLqziAGVBtOh8K7bw7lZbSrTRdhQdHoQupSj7Fo9pPmQq1KsrqzB3gumsO/apple-itablet-event-invites-ar.jpg.scaled.500.jpg)](http://posterous.com/getfile/files.posterous.com/jcieplinski/4ITuMSeFrb5YGQtI0aVF6XIXY4qQWD3sGHUYHJJr14gjMOcVABhF1ECcmA2F/apple-itablet-event-invites-ar.jpg)
While I don’t think there’s much value in reading into Apple’s cryptic invitation tag lines, this particular one from Apple isn’t really cryptic. It says “Come see our latest creation.” Creation. Not creations. 
What does that mean to me? This isn’t Macworld. Jobs isn’t going to have a host of new products to show off. This is a focused event, the way the iPod introduction was a focused event. At Macworld, Jobs would have caught hell for not introducing anything new about the Macintosh. Which is why the iPhone, clearly the star of that show, had to share the stage with other Mac-related announcements three years ago. But here, he’s free to do anything he wants. This is why Apple dropped out of Macworld in the first place. 
But forget the invitation. Apple obviously wants to focus this introduction on one new gadget. Why? Because it’s good marketing. You don’t want to cloud the story. You don’t want to give journalists an opportunity to talk about anything BUT this new creation. 
If you don’t agree with me, watch the Microsoft keynote from CES this year again. And then try to find the onslaught of press that followed it. Good luck with that. 
Now, where do these other rumors come from, and where are the kernels of truth that led to them? Well, that’s a reasonable set of questions. But the answers should also be obvious. 
New version of iLife? Well, sure. iLife for the new Tablet. Apple isn’t going to introduce a new gadget that doesn’t come with any software. And what better way to demonstrate that this isn’t just an “iPod Touch on Steroids” than to show off some powerful software for it that can do things the iPhone can’t dream of doing? A lot of people have speculated about iWork for the tablet, which I certainly think will come eventually, too. But Apple’s pattern is to introduce new things for consumers first, and then work them into the business world later. So iLife makes more sense than iWork, at least to start. (I wouldn’t be surprised if both are introduced on the tablet next week, but there’s only so much demo time available at one of these things, so it’s hard to tell.) 
And yes, that software will probably require a companion new Mac version of iLife for compatibility reasons. But don’t expect Jobs to spend twenty minutes demoing iPhoto 2010 on a Mac. All the demos should be tablet-centric. 
iPhone 4.0 software? Again, as it pertains to the tablet, sure. I would imagine that just as Apple needs to give Mac users a reason to want a tablet, it also needs to give iPhone and iPod Touch users a reason to want a tablet, too. So I expect some integration between the new tablet and the iPhone/iPod Touch. And that will require an update to the iPhone OS. Again, I don’t expect Jobs to send out Scott Forstall to demo seventeen new apps for iPhone this time around. Maybe just bring up a few key points about what’s new, as it pertains to the tablet. 
There’s been some speculation that the tablet will be “running” iPhone OS 4.0. I still find that idea pretty unlikely. The core OS will be the same, surely. But the tablet needs its own UI if it’s going to be successful. 
New iPhone hardware? Well that just doesn’t make sense at all. Introducing a brand new iPhone at the same time as a new tablet is just going to split all the excitement for no good reason. It’s also going to split people’s wallets. I fully expect a new iPhone in June or July, not in January. Remember, all the crazy early adopters are not even a year into their iPhone 3Gs contracts yet. AT&T is already generating enough bad press for Apple. What are the chances that AT&T would let us all out of our commitments cheaply this early? And iPhone on Verizon or Sprint, or T-Mobile? Now you’re really screwing your early adopters. Because AT&T is DEFINITELY not letting you out of your contract early to switch carriers. So you’ll be stuck until July 2011 with yesterday’s phone. Or you’ll be spending so much money on a new iPhone that you won’t have any money left for a tablet. 
You have to bleed your customers slowly over time, not slice their throats. 
And to those who say Apple will announce a new iPhone, but not ship it until June, I ask: What possible good could come from that decision? The iPhone is an established platform, like the Mac. New versions will be announced within a few weeks of shipping from here on out. 
iTunes in the cloud. Here’s another one that keeps coming back to haunt us. Apple bought a little company called Lala. Lala was a company that served up tunes over the web for a fee. Therefore, Apple, the world’s largest and most successful music retailer, is going to change its entire business model to a cloud model. 
At least that was the story a few months ago. Now, people seem to have figured out that this will be a supplemental service, not a fundamental change to the iTunes infrastructure. Keep all your files on your iPods, iPhones, tablets, etc. But, if you happen to be away from all your gadgets, you can still get to your music online via a stream, for a modest fee. Now THAT makes sense. Will it be announced next Wednesday? If Apple can tie it to the tablet and demo it on the tablet, sure. If not, no. Again, focus is the key here.
I won’t go into the tablet naming game. iPad, iSlate, the return of the iBook? I think all those are bad ideas. But it wouldn’t be the first time Apple had a bad name for a product. What it’s called really doesn’t matter all that much to me. I’m still going to want one. 
Whatever the tablet is, expect Jobs to introduce it as the “next revolution” in computing. He’ll show the Mac, the iPod, the iPhone, and then the tablet, to put it amongst the pantheon of game-changing devices in our minds. He’ll convince us that we’re witnessing an historical event. That’s what he does best. 
And he won’t be wrong, either. If touch-based interfaces are going to be the thing that replaces the keyboard and mouse as primary input devices, then the iPhone was the beginning of that transition, and the tablet will be a giant push in that direction. The Mac itself is only a representation of the graphical user interface. The iPod is a representative of the shift to digital music distribution. The gadgets are just conduits for the revolution in interaction. 
I have no doubt that Jobs wants to make history again, because for guys like him, you can never change the world enough. 
 This may very well be Job’s Swan Song, so he’s going to make it count.

And check out the response from Microsoft

> But Mr Evans said that calls to change browsers were “not very helpful”. > > “If you look at other browsers, it’s likely they will have other vulnerabilities,” he said. > >
![Chinese computer user](http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/45969000/jpg/_45969862_000121642-1.jpg)
The vulnerability was found to be used in an attack on Google
He pointed to a report by security firm NSS Labs reportedly showing that IE8 provided better security against phishing and malware than other browsers. > > “We feel strongly that IE8 is most secure browser on the market,” Mr Evans said. > > His advice was echoed by Mr Cluley. > > “Switching away will get away from this particular problem,” he told BBC News. “But all browsers have security flaws.” > > Mr Cluley said that switching away from IE could create other problems, particularly for companies. > > “Some web-based applications may not work at all if you’re not using Internet Explorer.” > > Microsoft is currently working on a patch for the problem, but a spokesperson said it could not commit to a timeframe. > > The firm traditionally releases a security update once a month – the next scheduled patch will be ready on 9 February.
via [news.bbc.co.uk](http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/8465038.stm)
I let this pass in the Germany article. But take a look at the official MS response to these government warnings.

“All browsers have security flaws.” True. But your browsers’ flaws are the only ones being exploited, guys.

“Some web-based applications may not work at all if you’re not using Internet Explorer.” That problem will soon be solved when no one is using Internet Explorer, won’t it? Lazy, short-sighted businesses who only develop for IE are about to go down with the ship.

Trust me, most good web developers have been waiting patiently for the day when they can stop wasting the bulk of their time getting their apps to work properly in IE. CSS and Javascript hacks to get around shortcomings have been common practice for decades.

So Microsoft basically threatens people to keep using their lame product. How about just building something that doesn’t suck for once?

France also officially recognizes that IE sucks

> **France has echoed calls by the German government for web users to find an alternative to Microsoft’s Internet Explorer (IE) to protect security.** > > Certa, a government agency that oversees cyber threats, warned against using all versions of the web browser.
via [news.bbc.co.uk](http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/8465038.stm)
As I [suggested a few days ago](http://jcieplinski.posterous.com/german-government-the-first-to-officially-rec "Germany"), the official flogging of IE continues with France. Will England be next?